Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.054708 0.064601 0.075682 0.089001 0.104564 0.122162 0.143563
2025-06-08 0.038458 0.050903 0.066409 0.087100 0.113934 0.147504 0.192639
2025-06-15 0.030503 0.044109 0.062514 0.089121 0.126478 0.176921 0.250058
2025-06-22 0.024370 0.037950 0.057624 0.088022 0.133587 0.199095 0.300113
2025-06-29 0.019722 0.032775 0.052856 0.085733 0.137895 0.217054 0.345764
2025-07-06 0.016134 0.028439 0.048423 0.082893 0.140435 0.232072 0.388261
2025-07-13 0.014197 0.026385 0.047168 0.084726 0.150330 0.259375 0.453148
2025-07-20 0.012425 0.024268 0.045401 0.085288 0.157956 0.283623 0.515699
2025-07-27 0.010981 0.022473 0.043873 0.085939 0.165645 0.308654 0.582350
2025-08-03 0.009850 0.021067 0.042809 0.087213 0.174493 0.336570 0.657242
2025-08-10 0.009049 0.020174 0.042568 0.089965 0.186384 0.371258 0.748513
2025-08-17 0.007765 0.018052 0.039560 0.086750 0.186107 0.382812 0.796778
2025-08-24 0.006910 0.016737 0.038063 0.086525 0.192032 0.407507 0.874724
2025-08-31 0.006087 0.015356 0.036221 0.085302 0.195730 0.428225 0.947287
2025-09-07 0.005617 0.014718 0.035917 0.087413 0.206861 0.465530 1.058811
2025-09-14 0.004995 0.013598 0.034335 0.086360 0.210767 0.487850 1.140658
2025-09-21 0.004385 0.012398 0.032378 0.084118 0.211606 0.503480 1.209443
2025-09-28 0.003828 0.011234 0.030326 0.081330 0.210746 0.515115 1.270410
2025-10-05 0.003565 0.010824 0.030115 0.083130 0.221277 0.554191 1.399687
2025-10-12 0.003272 0.010276 0.029460 0.083682 0.228747 0.586850 1.517338
2025-10-19 0.003013 0.009780 0.028870 0.084322 0.236519 0.621094 1.642714
2025-10-26 0.002802 0.009393 0.028522 0.085572 0.246062 0.660788 1.786144
2025-11-02 0.002661 0.009195 0.028682 0.088275 0.259881 0.712851 1.966903